The experment continues

SO - moving on - this experiment has taken a turn to the dark side - going to continue and see what happens - be careful 

Record

Days 46
Wagers 454
Units +56.42
ROI  12.42%  Remember - a pro is happy at 5% 

*ROI (Return on Investment) winnings / wagers

NOTE - ALWAYS risk ONE (1) unit - straight bets

Books used for lines Bovada $1 min bet / BETUS $5 min bet 

*******************************

Sunday   Totals units  -2.57 

Monday  simplifying a little to save time  

NBA ML 

(65) Portland -160  0.62
(18) Indiana -135 0.74
(12) Cleveland -300 0.33
(7) Golden State -565 0.18

NHL ML 

(22) Chicago Blackhawks -110 0.91

NHL PL 

(53) Fla Panthers -1.5 -120 0.83
(8) Detroit red Wings -1.5 +215
(8) Edmonton Oilers -1.5 +120
(5) Chicago Blackhawks -1.5  +220

The three systems with a 7 day moving average 

OUCH. Doing a deep dive into stats today

While waiting for games do a deep dive into the NHL ML  - there were some SHOCKERS yesterday for sure.   Tampa Bay - in that situation teams have won 12 of the last 14 times  there were a number of shockers yesterday - a trend? or an anomaly - goign to see if I can find out    

NBA is doing well 

Record

Days 45
Wagers 448
Units +58.99
ROI  13.16%  Remember - a pro is happy at 5% 

*ROI (Return on Investment) winnings / wagers

NOTE - ALWAYS risk ONE (1) unit - straight bets

Books used for lines Bovada $1 min bet / BETUS $5 min bet 

*******************************

Saturday

NBA ML

(14)Memphis -210 0.48 W
(6)  Dallas -545 0.20 W 

NHL ML 

(47) Tampa Bay Lightning -135 0.74 L
(24) Toronto Maps -260 0.38 W
(23) StL Blues -170 0.57 L
(17) Ottawa Senators   +125 1.25 L
(5) Arizona Coyotes -125 0.80 L

NHL PL 

(59) Florida Panthers -1.5 -125 0.80 L shocker
(45) Arizona Coyotes -1.5 +220 L shocker
(39) Edmonton Oilers -1.5 -105 0.95 W
(32) Tampa Bay Lightning -1.5 +160 L
(28) Ottawa Senators  +1.5 -250 0.41 W

*****************

*** I'm going  to rank these in order of ASSUMED (ROI) - worked out really well yesterday. This will also show you the strength of the plays today - I still play every game at 2%.  Not picking and choosing 

************

Sunday

NBA ML

(18) Dallas -210 0.48
(17) Milwaukee -240 0.42
(16) Chicago -210 0.48
(16) Minnesota -105 0.95 NOTE I had a choice  -1 at -105 or PK at -115  ???  uummmm  what? 

NHL ML 
exciting game of the day 

(29) Montreal +135 

NHL PL 

(103) Montreal +1.5 -175 0.57  never had a play over 100%  LOL   ha won 13 in a row and 14 of last 15

Not lighting the world on fire at the moment

But not getting crushed 

Record

Days 44
Wagers 436
Units +61.61
ROI  14.13%  Remember - a pro is happy at 5% 

*ROI (Return on Investment) winnings / wagers

NOTE - ALWAYS risk ONE (1) unit - straight bets

Books used for lines Bovada $1 min bet / BETUS $5 min bet 

*******************************

Friday

NBA ML

(27) Denver Nuggets -200 to win 0.50 W
(15) S.A. Spurs -105 0.95 W
(15) Bst Celtics +110  1.10 L 
(13) Miami Heat -270 0.37 W

NHL ML 

(27) Bst Bruins -290 0.34 W
(14) Callas Stars -120 0.83 L

NHL PL

(57) Dallas Stars -1.5 +215 2.15 L

Total units for the day  -0.88

*****************

*** I'm going  to rank these in order of ASSUMED (ROI) - worked out really well yesterday. This will also show you the strength of the plays today - I still play every game at 2%.  Not picking and choosing 

************

Saturday

NBA ML

(14)Memphis -210 0.48
(6)  Dallas -545 0.20

NHL ML 

(47) Tampa Bay Lightning -135 0.74
(24) Toronto Maps -260 0.38
(23) StL Blues -170 0.57
(17) Ottawa Senators   +125 1.25
(5) Arizona Coyotes -125 0.80

NHL PL 

(59) Florida Panthers -1.5 -125 0.80
(45) Arizona Coyotes -1.5 +220
(39) Edmonton Oilers -1.5 -105 0.95
(32) Tampa Bay Lightning -1.5 +160
(28) Ottawa Senators  +1.5 -250 0.41

   

BETUS getting trashed on the internet - poor customer relations

Seems #BETUS is having a Customer Relations problem.  They won't cancel cancel wagers BUT, when they make a mistake all wagers are null and void after the game.  

OOPS - seems they had a change in heart - if you complain and can prove you made the wager - you win

 Record

Days 43
Wagers 429
Units +62.45
ROI  14.55%  Remember - a pro is happy at 5% 

*ROI (Return on Investment) winnings / wagers

NOTE - ALWAYS risk ONE (1) unit - straight bets

Books used for lines Bovada $1 min bet / BETUS $5 min bet 

*******************************

Thursday

NBA ML

(08)Philly 76ers -140 to win 0.71 W

NHL ML

(43) Mont Canadians +115 1.15 L (-1.00)
(38)Car Hurricanes -230 0.43 W
(36) NY Islanders -135 0.74 L (-1.00)
(25)TB Lightning -310 0.32 W
(13) Edmonton Oilers -110 0.91 W

NHL PL 

(93) Mont Canadians +1.5 -200 0.50 W
(59)TB Lightning -1.5 -130 0.77 L (-1.00)
(32)Car Hurricanes -1.5 +105 L (-1.00)
(30) Fla Panthers -1.5 +135 W

Total units for the day  +0.22

*****************

*** I'm going  to rank these in order of ASSUMED (ROI) - worked out really well yesterday. This will also show you the strength of the plays today - I still play every game at 2%.  Not picking and choosing 

************

Friday

NBA ML

(27) Denver Nuggets -200 to win 0.50
(15) S.A. Spurs -105 0.95
(15) Bst Celtics +110  1.10
(13) Miami Heat -270 0.37

NHL ML 

(27) Bst Bruins -290 0.34
(14) Callas Stars -120 0.83

NHL PL

(57) Dallas Stars -1.5 +215 2.15

ROI after 41 days 

NBA ML  12.0%
NHL ML 10.2%
NHL PL 21.6% 

 
 

I have nothing to say but picks

Record

Days 41
Wagers 419
Units +62.33
ROI  14.87%  Remember - a pro is happy at 5% 

*ROI (Return on Investment) winnings / wagers

NOTE - ALWAYS risk ONE (1) unit - straight bets

Books used for lines Bovada $1 min bet / BETUS $5 min bet 

*******************************

Wednesday

NBA ML 

(46)Chicago -165 0.61 W
(46)Memphis -170 0.59 W
(31)Dallas -165 0.61 W
(25)Indiana +105 to win 1.05 L (-1.00)
(21)Milwaukee -180 0.57 L (-1.00)
(12)Utah +115  1.15 L (-1.00)

NHL ML 

(33)Calgary Flames -175 0.54 W
(22)Toronto Maps -280 0.36 W
(23)Colo Avs -175 0.57 W
(17)Det Red Wings -110 0.91 L (-1.00)

NHL PL 

(78)Calgary Flames -1.5 +135  W
(41)Colo Avs -1.5 +125  L (-1.00)
(28)Det Red Wings -1.5 +205 L (-1.00)

Total units for the day  -1.37

*****************

*** I'm going  to rank these in order of ASSUMED (ROI) - worked out really well yesterday. This will also show you the strength of the plays today - I still play every game at 2%.  Not picking and choosing 

Thursday

NBA ML

(08)Philly 76ers -140 to win 0.71

NHL ML

(43) Mont Canadians +115 1.15
(38)Car Hurricanes -230 0.43
(36) NY Islanders -135 0.74
(25)TB Lightning -310 0.32
(13) Edmonton Oilers -110 0.91

NHL PL 

(93) Mont Canadians +1.5 -200 0.50
(59)TB Lightning -1.5 -130 0.77
(32)Car Hurricanes -1.5 +105
(30) Fla Panthers -1.5 +135

  

WELL - that was a nice birthday gift 1/26/22

Something I learned - at BETUS the rollover is "take the lowest amount between risk and win and subtract that from your rollover amount"  well shit that sucks.  

  Record

Days 41
Wagers 406
Units +63.71
ROI  15.69%  Remember - a pro is happy at 5% 

*ROI (Return on Investment) winnings / wagers

NOTE - ALWAYS risk ONE (1) unit - straight bets

Books used for lines Bovada $1 min bet / BETUS $5 min bet 

*******************************

Tuesday

NBA ML

Toronto -155 to win 0.65 W
San Antonio -190 0.53 W
Golden State -150 0.67 W

NHL ML

Pitt Penguins -470  0.21 W
Ott Senators -175 0.57 W
Dallas Stars -140 0.71 W
FLa Panthers -165 0.61 W
Vancouver Canucks  +115  1.15 L (-1.00)
 
NHL PL

Pitt Penguins -1.5  -175 0.59   W
Dallas Stars -1.5 +175  1.75 W
FLa Panthers -1.5 +145 1.45 W
Nashville Preds -1.5 +155 1.55 W
**Vancouver +1.5 -1.95  W  

Total units for the day  +8.80 

********************************

Wednesday

NBA ML 

Indiana +105 to win 1.05
Milwaukee -180 0.57
Chicago -165 0.61
Memphis -170 0.59
Dallas -165 0.61
Utah +115  1.15

NHL ML 

Calgary Flames -175 0.54
Toronto Maps -280 0.36
Det Red Wings -110 0.91
Colo Avs -175 0.57

NHL PL 

Calgary Flames -1.5 +135
Det Red Wings -1.5 +205
Colo Avs -1.5 +125 

**Sorry abudya spotted the mistake about 3:00 I reversed the Vancouver play on the PL.   If it's any help I made a mistake 2 weeks ago and it won so . . . . .  I was in a hurry yesterday - I apologize  

ROI for life of the systems 

NBA ML 12.9%
NHL ML 10.9%
NHL PL 22.8% 

Don't shoot the messenger! 1/25/22

Hey - I'm on this ride like everybody else - it was supposed to be a secret experiment collecting data for NEXT year.  

HOWEVER - this being day 40 (well I do this every day actually) I took a hard look at the systems and here are my thoughts.

NHL Puck line is still the Gold standard for these 3 systems even though its had a tough week.
 
NBA Money Line is second. lost of good plays - just gotta get the good match-ups with the right lines

NHL Moneyline is third.  Notice in this last week there have not been as many picks - the systems is adjusting a little with less plays. Not a LOT of GREAT areas but still good ones.     

I see nothing really bad - just losses, shit happens.  Goalies get hot at the wrong times.  

Remember - I'm playing these games too at 2% of the bank on each game  (am I sounding too defensive?)  I hate losing as much as anybody - even more as I put these out there.    

And yes - it's been a tough week  after winning 11.13 units last monday we have given back   7.15

 Record

Days 40
Wagers 393
Units +54.91
ROI  13.97%  Remember - a pro is happy at 5% 

*ROI (Return on Investment) winnings / wagers

NOTE - ALWAYS risk ONE (1) unit - straight bets

Books used for lines Bovada $1 min bet / BETUS $5 min bet 

*******************************

Monday

NBA ML - NO GAMES

NHL ML

NY Rangers -165 to win 0.61 W
Washington Caps -130 0.77 L (1.00)

NHL PL

Bost Bruins -1.5 -110 L (1.00)
**Wash Caps -1.5 +180  L (1.00)

Total units for the day  -2.38  

****************

Tuesday

NBA ML

Toronto -155 to win 0.65
San Antonio -190 0.53
Golden State -150 0.67

NHL ML

Pitt Penguins -470  0.21
Ott Senators -175 0.57
Dallas Stars -140 0.71
FLa Panthers -165 0.61
Vancouver Canucks  +115  1.15

NHL PL

Pitt Penguins -1.5  -175 0.59   WOW 
Dallas Stars -1.5 +175  1.75
FLa Panthers -1.5 +145 1.45
Nashville Preds -1.5 +155 1.55
Vancouver +1.5 -1.95    The beauty of Bovada - you can cash out and re enter 

ROI over the last 14 days 

NBA ML 8.42%
NHL ML 10.31%
NHL PL 8.29% 

so a UNDER 20 point teaser for the final 2 minutes was a bad bet? LOL

  Grinders Action System (GAS)

Record

Days 37
Wagers 389
Units +57.30
ROI  14.73%

*ROI (Return on Investment) winnings / wagers = For every dollar wagered you win 28.70 cents. 5% ROI is normal for pros I believe

NOTE - ALWAYS risk ONE (1) unit - straight bets

Books used for lines Bovada $1 min bet / BETUS $5 min bet 

*******************************

Sunday

NBA ML

NY Knicks -165 to win 0.61 W
Minn Timberwolves -145 0.71 W
Orlando Magic +130 1.30 W

NHL ML

Pitts Penguins -240 0.42 W
**Fla Panthers -250 0.51 L (-1.00)

NHL PL

Pitts Penguins -1.5 +110 1.10 : (-1.00)
**Fla Panthers -1.5 -105 0.95 L (-1.00) 

** High ROI game

Total units for the day  +0.04  Take it to the bank 

****************

Monday

NBA ML - NO GAMES

NHL ML

NY Rangers -165 to win 0.61
Washington Caps -130 0.77

NHL PL

Bost Bruins -1.5 -110  0.91
**Wash Caps -1.5 +180  1.80

** High ROI game

ROI over the last 14 days 

NBA ML 11.32%
NHL ML 11.70%
NHL PL 10.75% 

This has come up a couple times now - playing the SAME team money line AND puck line.  Is it smart?  The answer is . . I don't know.  

This year was suppose to be a data gathering year for NEXT year.  These are 3 separate systems that track units won and lost independently.  

With the Puck lines you lose more often but, win more $$ in victories - with the money line you win more often but win less when you DO win.   I don't.

THUS - Both systems are winners - what do you do? Throw out one pick that still wins?

I go against the grain for this concept but I'm more afraid of NOT WINNING then losing as long as I have an assumed +EV and a valid reason for playing a game. 

BTW - I wager 2% of the bank adjusted daily. 

Plus - I did not wager 1 penny on the NFL. Way to much emotions playing with my brain. 

I can't believe in 4 days and 37 wagers we are up 0.6 units  CRAZY!! ACTION!  

Sorry for delay - I dipped my head in a bucket of boiling tears last night - Packers

 Grinders Action System (GAS)

Record

Days 36
Wagers 382
Units +57.26
ROI  14.98%

*ROI (Return on Investment) winnings / wagers = For every dollar wagered you win 28.70 cents. 5% ROI is normal for pros I believe

NOTE - ALWAYS risk ONE (1) unit - straight bets

Books used for lines Bovada $1 min bet / BETUS $5 min bet 

*******************************

Saturday 

No NBA 

NHL Money lines

Bst Bruins -165 0.61 W
Colo Avs -550 0.18 W 
Washington Caps  -210 0.48 W
NY Islanders +155 1.55 L (-1.00)
Carolina Hurricanes -175 0.57 L (-1.00)
Nashville Preds -220 0.45 W

NHL Puck Lines 

Minn Wild -1.5 +115 1.55 L (-1.00)
***Edmonton Oilers  +1.5 -240 0.42 W
TB Lightning -1.5 +160 W
***Carolina Hurricanes -1.5 +135 1.35  L (-1.00)

Total units for the day  -0.28 

****************

Sunday

NBA ML

NY Knicks -165 to win 0.61
Minn Timberwolves -145 0.71
Orlando Magic +130 1.30

NHL ML

Pitts Penguins -240 0.42
**Fla Panthers -250 0.51

NHL PL

Pitts Penguins -1.5 +110 1.10
**Fla Panthers -1.5 -105 0.95 

** High ROI game

NOTE - I think the reason many people don't like this kind of system is its' a slow gain - not a get rich quick scheme that most gamblers love.  This just chugs along. Big wins here and there but never HUGE losses KNOCK ON WOOD 

This is the daily win/lose for each day the system has been around - left side us units won or lose each day 

  

Last 2 week ROIs

NBA  9.95%
NHL ML  15.22%
NHL PL 14.63%

Eeking out small wins 1/22/22

 Grinders Action System (GAS)

Record

Days 35
Wagers 372
Units +57.54
ROI  15.46%

*ROI (Return on Investment) winnings / wagers = For every dollar wagered you win 28.70 cents. 5% ROI is normal for pros I believe

NOTE - ALWAYS risk ONE (1) unit - straight bets

Books used for lines Bovada $1 min bet / BETUS $5 min bet 

*******************************

NBA Money lines 

LA Lakers -200 to win 0.50  W
Atlanta -125 0.80 W
Denver -165 0.61  L  (-1.00)

NHL Money Lines

Dallas Stars -110 0.91 W
NY Islanders -260 0.40 W
Minnesota Wild -130 0.77 w
TB Lightning -230 0.43  L  (-1.00)

NHL Puck Lines 

Fla Panthers -1.5 +120 1.20  L  (-1.00)
NY Islanders -1/5 EVEN 1.00 W
TB Lightning -1.5 +110  1.10  L  (-1.00)

Total units for the day  +0.38

****************

Saturday 

No NBA 

NHL Money lines

Bst Bruins -165 0.61
Colo Avs -550 0.18 (remember - you can ONLY lose 1 units) 
Washington Caps  -210 0.48
NY Islanders +155 1.55
Carolina Hurricanes -175 0.57
Nashville Preds -220 0.45

NHL Puck Lines 

Minn Wild -1.5 +115 1.55
***Edmonton Oilers  +1.5 -240 0.42
TB Lightning -1.5 +160
***Carolina Hurricanes -1.5 +135 1.35 

**HIGH ROI plays 

***************

in the last 95 home games the Packers have a 9.1 point HFA - just sayin 

Last 2 week ROIs

NBA  13.19%
NHL ML  13.80%
NHL PL 16.72%

 

   

NBA having some minor issues 1/21/22

Food for thought 

In the last 2 weeks the NBA picks are only producing a 8.43% ROI  

The NHL Money lines 14.73% ROI

NHL Puck Lines 23.27% ROI

STILL - NBA with a 8.43% is not LOSING!! 

Grinders Action System (GAS)

Record

Days 34
Wagers 362
Units +57.16
ROI  15.79%

*ROI (Return on Investment) winnings / wagers = For every dollar wagered you win 28.70 cents. 5% ROI is normal for pros I believe

NOTE - ALWAYS risk ONE (1) unit - straight bets

Books used for lines Bovada $1 min bet / BETUS $5 min bet 

*******************************

@@@@@@@@@@@@

Thursday 

NBA Money Lines 

NY Knicks -170 to win 0.50 L (-1.00)
Dallas Mavs +125 1.25 L (-1.00)

NHL Money Line  ONLY ONE ??? 

*Nashville Preds -140 0.71  W

NHL Puck Line

Philly Flyers -1.5 +185 1.85 L (-1.00)
*Pitts Penguins -1.5 -125 0.80 W
*Dallas Stars -1.5 +130 1.30 L (-1.00)
Nashville Preds -1.5 +165 1.65 W
Colorado Avs -1.5 +130 1.30 W

total units for the day  +.46

@@@@@@@@@@@@@

Friday

NBA Money lines 

**LA Lakers -200 to win 0.50
**Atlanta -125 0.80
Denver -165 0.61 

NHL Money Lines

Dallas Stars -110 0.91
NY Islanders -260 0.40
Minnesota Wild -130 0.77
**TB Lightning -230 0.43

NHL Puck Lines 

**Fla Panthers -1.5 +120 1.20
NY Islanders -1/5 EVEN 1.00
**TB Lightning -1.5 +110  1.10

** means these have a very high ROI in the system - just experimenting  In the +44% range

* high ROI plays are  3 for +.51 units (17.00 ROI) snooze! 

A little turbulence 1/20/22

Grinders Action System (GAS)

Record

Days 33
Wagers 354
Units +56.70
ROI  16.01%

*ROI (Return on Investment) winnings / wagers = For every dollar wagered you win 28.70 cents. 5% ROI is normal for pros I believe

NOTE - ALWAYS risk ONE (1) unit - straight bets

Books used for lines Bovada $1 min bet / BETUS $5 min bet 

*******************************

Wednesday 

NBA Money lines

Washington -110  to win 0.91 L (-1.00)
Cleveland -140 0.71 L (-1.00) biggest surprise of the day 
Milwaukee -220 0.45
LA Lakers -200 0.50 L (-1.00)

NHL Money Lines (not many games) 
Colorado Avs - 220 0.41 W

NHL Puck Lines

NYRangers +1.5 -175 0.57  W

total units for the day  -1.58

@@@@@@@@@@@@

Thursday 

NBA Money Lines 

NY Knicks -170 to win 0.50
Dallas Mavs +125 1.25

NHL Money Line  ONLY ONE ??? 

*Nashville Preds -140 0.71 

NHL Puck Line

Philly Flyers -1.5 +185 1.85
*Pitts Penguins -1.5 -125 0.80
*Dallas Stars -1.5 +130 1.30
Nashville Preds -1.5 +165 1.65
Colorado Avs -1.5 +130 1.30

* something new - these are the games with the highest ROI today 

Friend asked of the three systems what is working the best 

NBA Money line   132 games  12.1% ROI
NHL Money Lines 106 games 11.4% ROI
NHL Puck Lines  116 games 24.7% ROI