Wednesday, January 26, 2022

WELL - that was a nice birthday gift 1/26/22

Something I learned - at BETUS the rollover is "take the lowest amount between risk and win and subtract that from your rollover amount"  well shit that sucks.  

  Record

Days 41
Wagers 406
Units +63.71
ROI  15.69%  Remember - a pro is happy at 5% 
*ROI (Return on Investment) winnings / wagers
NOTE - ALWAYS risk ONE (1) unit - straight bets
Books used for lines Bovada $1 min bet / BETUS $5 min bet 
*******************************
Tuesday
NBA ML
Toronto -155 to win 0.65 W
San Antonio -190 0.53 W
Golden State -150 0.67 W

NHL ML
Pitt Penguins -470  0.21 W
Ott Senators -175 0.57 W
Dallas Stars -140 0.71 W
FLa Panthers -165 0.61 W
Vancouver Canucks  +115  1.15 L (-1.00)
 
NHL PL
Pitt Penguins -1.5  -175 0.59   W
Dallas Stars -1.5 +175  1.75 W
FLa Panthers -1.5 +145 1.45 W
Nashville Preds -1.5 +155 1.55 W
**Vancouver +1.5 -1.95  W  
Total units for the day  +8.80 
********************************
Wednesday
NBA ML 
Indiana +105 to win 1.05
Milwaukee -180 0.57
Chicago -165 0.61
Memphis -170 0.59
Dallas -165 0.61
Utah +115  1.15
NHL ML 
Calgary Flames -175 0.54
Toronto Maps -280 0.36
Det Red Wings -110 0.91
Colo Avs -175 0.57
NHL PL 
Calgary Flames -1.5 +135
Det Red Wings -1.5 +205
Colo Avs -1.5 +125 

**Sorry abudya spotted the mistake about 3:00 I reversed the Vancouver play on the PL.   If it's any help I made a mistake 2 weeks ago and it won so . . . . .  I was in a hurry yesterday - I apologize  

ROI for life of the systems 
NBA ML 12.9%
NHL ML 10.9%
NHL PL 22.8% 


Tuesday, January 25, 2022

Don't shoot the messenger! 1/25/22

Hey - I'm on this ride like everybody else - it was supposed to be a secret experiment collecting data for NEXT year.  

HOWEVER - this being day 40 (well I do this every day actually) I took a hard look at the systems and here are my thoughts.

NHL Puck line is still the Gold standard for these 3 systems even though its had a tough week.
 
NBA Money Line is second. lost of good plays - just gotta get the good match-ups with the right lines

NHL Moneyline is third.  Notice in this last week there have not been as many picks - the systems is adjusting a little with less plays. Not a LOT of GREAT areas but still good ones.     

I see nothing really bad - just losses, shit happens.  Goalies get hot at the wrong times.  

Remember - I'm playing these games too at 2% of the bank on each game  (am I sounding too defensive?)  I hate losing as much as anybody - even more as I put these out there.    

And yes - it's been a tough week  after winning 11.13 units last monday we have given back   7.15

 Record

Days 40
Wagers 393
Units +54.91
ROI  13.97%  Remember - a pro is happy at 5% 
*ROI (Return on Investment) winnings / wagers
NOTE - ALWAYS risk ONE (1) unit - straight bets
Books used for lines Bovada $1 min bet / BETUS $5 min bet 
*******************************
Monday

NBA ML - NO GAMES
NHL ML
NY Rangers -165 to win 0.61 W
Washington Caps -130 0.77 L (1.00)

NHL PL
Bost Bruins -1.5 -110 L (1.00)
**Wash Caps -1.5 +180  L (1.00)
Total units for the day  -2.38  
****************
Tuesday
NBA ML
Toronto -155 to win 0.65
San Antonio -190 0.53
Golden State -150 0.67

NHL ML
Pitt Penguins -470  0.21
Ott Senators -175 0.57
Dallas Stars -140 0.71
FLa Panthers -165 0.61
Vancouver Canucks  +115  1.15

NHL PL
Pitt Penguins -1.5  -175 0.59   WOW 
Dallas Stars -1.5 +175  1.75
FLa Panthers -1.5 +145 1.45
Nashville Preds -1.5 +155 1.55
Vancouver +1.5 -1.95    The beauty of Bovada - you can cash out and re enter 

ROI over the last 14 days 
NBA ML 8.42%
NHL ML 10.31%
NHL PL 8.29% 


Monday, January 24, 2022

so a UNDER 20 point teaser for the final 2 minutes was a bad bet? LOL

  Grinders Action System (GAS)

Record
Days 37
Wagers 389
Units +57.30
ROI  14.73%
*ROI (Return on Investment) winnings / wagers = For every dollar wagered you win 28.70 cents. 5% ROI is normal for pros I believe
NOTE - ALWAYS risk ONE (1) unit - straight bets
Books used for lines Bovada $1 min bet / BETUS $5 min bet 
*******************************
Sunday
NBA ML
NY Knicks -165 to win 0.61 W
Minn Timberwolves -145 0.71 W
Orlando Magic +130 1.30 W

NHL ML
Pitts Penguins -240 0.42 W
**Fla Panthers -250 0.51 L (-1.00)
NHL PL
Pitts Penguins -1.5 +110 1.10 : (-1.00)
**Fla Panthers -1.5 -105 0.95 L (-1.00) 
** High ROI game
Total units for the day  +0.04  Take it to the bank 
****************
Monday

NBA ML - NO GAMES
NHL ML
NY Rangers -165 to win 0.61
Washington Caps -130 0.77

NHL PL
Bost Bruins -1.5 -110  0.91
**Wash Caps -1.5 +180  1.80
** High ROI game

ROI over the last 14 days 
NBA ML 11.32%
NHL ML 11.70%
NHL PL 10.75% 

This has come up a couple times now - playing the SAME team money line AND puck line.  Is it smart?  The answer is . . I don't know.  
This year was suppose to be a data gathering year for NEXT year.  These are 3 separate systems that track units won and lost independently.  
With the Puck lines you lose more often but, win more $$ in victories - with the money line you win more often but win less when you DO win.   I don't.
THUS - Both systems are winners - what do you do? Throw out one pick that still wins?
I go against the grain for this concept but I'm more afraid of NOT WINNING then losing as long as I have an assumed +EV and a valid reason for playing a game. 
BTW - I wager 2% of the bank adjusted daily. 
Plus - I did not wager 1 penny on the NFL. Way to much emotions playing with my brain. 

I can't believe in 4 days and 37 wagers we are up 0.6 units  CRAZY!! ACTION!  



Sunday, January 23, 2022

Sorry for delay - I dipped my head in a bucket of boiling tears last night - Packers

 Grinders Action System (GAS)

Record
Days 36
Wagers 382
Units +57.26
ROI  14.98%
*ROI (Return on Investment) winnings / wagers = For every dollar wagered you win 28.70 cents. 5% ROI is normal for pros I believe
NOTE - ALWAYS risk ONE (1) unit - straight bets
Books used for lines Bovada $1 min bet / BETUS $5 min bet 
*******************************
Saturday 
No NBA 
NHL Money lines
Bst Bruins -165 0.61 W
Colo Avs -550 0.18 W 
Washington Caps  -210 0.48 W
NY Islanders +155 1.55 L (-1.00)
Carolina Hurricanes -175 0.57 L (-1.00)
Nashville Preds -220 0.45 W

NHL Puck Lines 
Minn Wild -1.5 +115 1.55 L (-1.00)
***Edmonton Oilers  +1.5 -240 0.42 W
TB Lightning -1.5 +160 W
***Carolina Hurricanes -1.5 +135 1.35  L (-1.00)
Total units for the day  -0.28 
****************
Sunday
NBA ML
NY Knicks -165 to win 0.61
Minn Timberwolves -145 0.71
Orlando Magic +130 1.30

NHL ML
Pitts Penguins -240 0.42
**Fla Panthers -250 0.51
NHL PL
Pitts Penguins -1.5 +110 1.10
**Fla Panthers -1.5 -105 0.95 
** High ROI game
NOTE - I think the reason many people don't like this kind of system is its' a slow gain - not a get rich quick scheme that most gamblers love.  This just chugs along. Big wins here and there but never HUGE losses KNOCK ON WOOD 
This is the daily win/lose for each day the system has been around - left side us units won or lose each day 

  
Last 2 week ROIs
NBA  9.95%
NHL ML  15.22%
NHL PL 14.63%

Saturday, January 22, 2022

Eeking out small wins 1/22/22

 Grinders Action System (GAS)

Record
Days 35
Wagers 372
Units +57.54
ROI  15.46%
*ROI (Return on Investment) winnings / wagers = For every dollar wagered you win 28.70 cents. 5% ROI is normal for pros I believe
NOTE - ALWAYS risk ONE (1) unit - straight bets
Books used for lines Bovada $1 min bet / BETUS $5 min bet 
*******************************
NBA Money lines 
LA Lakers -200 to win 0.50  W
Atlanta -125 0.80 W
Denver -165 0.61  L  (-1.00)
NHL Money Lines
Dallas Stars -110 0.91 W
NY Islanders -260 0.40 W
Minnesota Wild -130 0.77 w
TB Lightning -230 0.43 
 L  (-1.00)
NHL Puck Lines 
Fla Panthers -1.5 +120 1.20  L  (-1.00)
NY Islanders -1/5 EVEN 1.00 W
TB Lightning -1.5 +110  1.10 
 L  (-1.00)
Total units for the day  +0.38
****************
Saturday 
No NBA 
NHL Money lines
Bst Bruins -165 0.61
Colo Avs -550 0.18 (remember - you can ONLY lose 1 units) 
Washington Caps  -210 0.48
NY Islanders +155 1.55
Carolina Hurricanes -175 0.57
Nashville Preds -220 0.45

NHL Puck Lines 
Minn Wild -1.5 +115 1.55
***Edmonton Oilers  +1.5 -240 0.42
TB Lightning -1.5 +160
***Carolina Hurricanes -1.5 +135 1.35 
**HIGH ROI plays 
***************
in the last 95 home games the Packers have a 9.1 point HFA - just sayin 

Last 2 week ROIs
NBA  13.19%
NHL ML  13.80%
NHL PL 16.72%

 
   

Friday, January 21, 2022

NBA having some minor issues 1/21/22

Food for thought 

In the last 2 weeks the NBA picks are only producing a 8.43% ROI  

The NHL Money lines 14.73% ROI

NHL Puck Lines 23.27% ROI

STILL - NBA with a 8.43% is not LOSING!! 

Grinders Action System (GAS)

Record
Days 34
Wagers 362
Units +57.16
ROI  15.79%
*ROI (Return on Investment) winnings / wagers = For every dollar wagered you win 28.70 cents. 5% ROI is normal for pros I believe
NOTE - ALWAYS risk ONE (1) unit - straight bets
Books used for lines Bovada $1 min bet / BETUS $5 min bet 
*******************************
@@@@@@@@@@@@
Thursday 
NBA Money Lines 
NY Knicks -170 to win 0.50 L (-1.00)
Dallas Mavs +125 1.25 
L (-1.00)
NHL Money Line  ONLY ONE ??? 
*Nashville Preds -140 0.71  W
NHL Puck Line
Philly Flyers -1.5 +185 1.85 L (-1.00)
*Pitts Penguins -1.5 -125 0.80 W
*Dallas Stars -1.5 +130 1.30 L (-1.00)
Nashville Preds -1.5 +165 1.65 W
Colorado Avs -1.5 +130 1.30 W
total units for the day  +.46
@@@@@@@@@@@@@
Friday
NBA Money lines 
**LA Lakers -200 to win 0.50
**Atlanta -125 0.80
Denver -165 0.61 
NHL Money Lines
Dallas Stars -110 0.91
NY Islanders -260 0.40
Minnesota Wild -130 0.77
**TB Lightning -230 0.43
NHL Puck Lines 
**Fla Panthers -1.5 +120 1.20
NY Islanders -1/5 EVEN 1.00
**TB Lightning -1.5 +110  1.10
** means these have a very high ROI in the system - just experimenting  In the +44% range
* high ROI plays are  3 for +.51 units (17.00 ROI) snooze! 



Thursday, January 20, 2022

A little turbulence 1/20/22

Grinders Action System (GAS)

Record
Days 33
Wagers 354
Units +56.70
ROI  16.01%
*ROI (Return on Investment) winnings / wagers = For every dollar wagered you win 28.70 cents. 5% ROI is normal for pros I believe
NOTE - ALWAYS risk ONE (1) unit - straight bets
Books used for lines Bovada $1 min bet / BETUS $5 min bet 
*******************************
Wednesday 
NBA Money lines
Washington -110  to win 0.91 L (-1.00)
Cleveland -140 0.71 L (-1.00) biggest surprise of the day 
Milwaukee -220 0.45
LA Lakers -200 0.50 
L (-1.00)
NHL Money Lines (not many games) 
Colorado Avs - 220 0.41 W
NHL Puck Lines
NYRangers +1.5 -175 0.57  W
total units for the day  -1.58

@@@@@@@@@@@@
Thursday 
NBA Money Lines 
NY Knicks -170 to win 0.50
Dallas Mavs +125 1.25
NHL Money Line  ONLY ONE ??? 
*Nashville Preds -140 0.71 
NHL Puck Line
Philly Flyers -1.5 +185 1.85
*Pitts Penguins -1.5 -125 0.80
*Dallas Stars -1.5 +130 1.30
Nashville Preds -1.5 +165 1.65
Colorado Avs -1.5 +130 1.30
* something new - these are the games with the highest ROI today 

Friend asked of the three systems what is working the best 
NBA Money line   132 games  12.1% ROI
NHL Money Lines 106 games 11.4% ROI
NHL Puck Lines  116 games 24.7% ROI 





WHEW - off the schnid

. No charts at the moment  - new computer does not have a GOOD copy of Excel yet that can do charts, maybe later today. Gotta get Photohop a...