Back in the saddle - at least for 1 night

Still only wagering 1% as opposed to 2% on NHL - last NHL until Monday 

Record

Days 48
Wagers 472
Units +58.12
ROI  12.31%  Remember - a pro is happy at 5% 

*ROI (Return on Investment) winnings / wagers

NOTE - ALWAYS risk ONE (1) unit - straight bets

Books used for lines Bovada $1 min bet / BETUS $5 min bet 

*******************************

Monday   Totals units   +4.62

NBA ML

Cleveland -180 0.56 L
Dallas -750 0.13 L

NHL ML - NO games

NHL PL 

Calgary Flames -1.5 -105 0.95  W
Minny Wild -1.5 +150 W 

systems so far this year  Left side Units won    A unit is one standard bet.  

Ridin the Storm Out

I WAS going to not post the NHL plays but this is an experiment and I'm way to concerned with the "Record".   personally I'll be  playing the NHL games for 1% and not the 2% of the bank.  here is why.

I STILL believe I have tweaked the system so it focuses not only on the long run but the short run issues.  The two graphs below look at EVERY line of every game in the last 45+ days-  Notice how the Puckline -1.5 have been KILLING people  the last week.  

with a 7 day moving average.  Once that moving average passes the actual line I'll go back to 2% wagers - NBA is doing fine 

Record

Days 47
Wagers 463
Units +53.50
ROI  11.55%  Remember - a pro is happy at 5% 

*ROI (Return on Investment) winnings / wagers

NOTE - ALWAYS risk ONE (1) unit - straight bets

Books used for lines Bovada $1 min bet / BETUS $5 min bet 

*******************************

Monday   Totals units  -2.98

Tuesday

NBA ML  166 plays 12.80% ROI

Phoenix -240 0.42 W

NHL ML  

NY Rangers +135 W
Boston Bruins -260 0.35 W
Vegas Goldens -460 0.22 W

NHL PL  151 plays  16.3% ROI

NY rangers +1.5 -180 0.56 W
Boston Bruins -1.5 -105 0.95 L
NY Islanders -1.5 +110 w
Dallas +1.5 -250 0.42 W
Vegas Goldens -1.5 -170 0.59 W 

Wager wisley - we will get through this 

The experment continues

SO - moving on - this experiment has taken a turn to the dark side - going to continue and see what happens - be careful 

Record

Days 46
Wagers 454
Units +56.42
ROI  12.42%  Remember - a pro is happy at 5% 

*ROI (Return on Investment) winnings / wagers

NOTE - ALWAYS risk ONE (1) unit - straight bets

Books used for lines Bovada $1 min bet / BETUS $5 min bet 

*******************************

Sunday   Totals units  -2.57 

Monday  simplifying a little to save time  

NBA ML 

(65) Portland -160  0.62
(18) Indiana -135 0.74
(12) Cleveland -300 0.33
(7) Golden State -565 0.18

NHL ML 

(22) Chicago Blackhawks -110 0.91

NHL PL 

(53) Fla Panthers -1.5 -120 0.83
(8) Detroit red Wings -1.5 +215
(8) Edmonton Oilers -1.5 +120
(5) Chicago Blackhawks -1.5  +220

The three systems with a 7 day moving average 

OUCH. Doing a deep dive into stats today

While waiting for games do a deep dive into the NHL ML  - there were some SHOCKERS yesterday for sure.   Tampa Bay - in that situation teams have won 12 of the last 14 times  there were a number of shockers yesterday - a trend? or an anomaly - goign to see if I can find out    

NBA is doing well 

Record

Days 45
Wagers 448
Units +58.99
ROI  13.16%  Remember - a pro is happy at 5% 

*ROI (Return on Investment) winnings / wagers

NOTE - ALWAYS risk ONE (1) unit - straight bets

Books used for lines Bovada $1 min bet / BETUS $5 min bet 

*******************************

Saturday

NBA ML

(14)Memphis -210 0.48 W
(6)  Dallas -545 0.20 W 

NHL ML 

(47) Tampa Bay Lightning -135 0.74 L
(24) Toronto Maps -260 0.38 W
(23) StL Blues -170 0.57 L
(17) Ottawa Senators   +125 1.25 L
(5) Arizona Coyotes -125 0.80 L

NHL PL 

(59) Florida Panthers -1.5 -125 0.80 L shocker
(45) Arizona Coyotes -1.5 +220 L shocker
(39) Edmonton Oilers -1.5 -105 0.95 W
(32) Tampa Bay Lightning -1.5 +160 L
(28) Ottawa Senators  +1.5 -250 0.41 W

*****************

*** I'm going  to rank these in order of ASSUMED (ROI) - worked out really well yesterday. This will also show you the strength of the plays today - I still play every game at 2%.  Not picking and choosing 

************

Sunday

NBA ML

(18) Dallas -210 0.48
(17) Milwaukee -240 0.42
(16) Chicago -210 0.48
(16) Minnesota -105 0.95 NOTE I had a choice  -1 at -105 or PK at -115  ???  uummmm  what? 

NHL ML 
exciting game of the day 

(29) Montreal +135 

NHL PL 

(103) Montreal +1.5 -175 0.57  never had a play over 100%  LOL   ha won 13 in a row and 14 of last 15

Not lighting the world on fire at the moment

But not getting crushed 

Record

Days 44
Wagers 436
Units +61.61
ROI  14.13%  Remember - a pro is happy at 5% 

*ROI (Return on Investment) winnings / wagers

NOTE - ALWAYS risk ONE (1) unit - straight bets

Books used for lines Bovada $1 min bet / BETUS $5 min bet 

*******************************

Friday

NBA ML

(27) Denver Nuggets -200 to win 0.50 W
(15) S.A. Spurs -105 0.95 W
(15) Bst Celtics +110  1.10 L 
(13) Miami Heat -270 0.37 W

NHL ML 

(27) Bst Bruins -290 0.34 W
(14) Callas Stars -120 0.83 L

NHL PL

(57) Dallas Stars -1.5 +215 2.15 L

Total units for the day  -0.88

*****************

*** I'm going  to rank these in order of ASSUMED (ROI) - worked out really well yesterday. This will also show you the strength of the plays today - I still play every game at 2%.  Not picking and choosing 

************

Saturday

NBA ML

(14)Memphis -210 0.48
(6)  Dallas -545 0.20

NHL ML 

(47) Tampa Bay Lightning -135 0.74
(24) Toronto Maps -260 0.38
(23) StL Blues -170 0.57
(17) Ottawa Senators   +125 1.25
(5) Arizona Coyotes -125 0.80

NHL PL 

(59) Florida Panthers -1.5 -125 0.80
(45) Arizona Coyotes -1.5 +220
(39) Edmonton Oilers -1.5 -105 0.95
(32) Tampa Bay Lightning -1.5 +160
(28) Ottawa Senators  +1.5 -250 0.41

   

BETUS getting trashed on the internet - poor customer relations

Seems #BETUS is having a Customer Relations problem.  They won't cancel cancel wagers BUT, when they make a mistake all wagers are null and void after the game.  

OOPS - seems they had a change in heart - if you complain and can prove you made the wager - you win

 Record

Days 43
Wagers 429
Units +62.45
ROI  14.55%  Remember - a pro is happy at 5% 

*ROI (Return on Investment) winnings / wagers

NOTE - ALWAYS risk ONE (1) unit - straight bets

Books used for lines Bovada $1 min bet / BETUS $5 min bet 

*******************************

Thursday

NBA ML

(08)Philly 76ers -140 to win 0.71 W

NHL ML

(43) Mont Canadians +115 1.15 L (-1.00)
(38)Car Hurricanes -230 0.43 W
(36) NY Islanders -135 0.74 L (-1.00)
(25)TB Lightning -310 0.32 W
(13) Edmonton Oilers -110 0.91 W

NHL PL 

(93) Mont Canadians +1.5 -200 0.50 W
(59)TB Lightning -1.5 -130 0.77 L (-1.00)
(32)Car Hurricanes -1.5 +105 L (-1.00)
(30) Fla Panthers -1.5 +135 W

Total units for the day  +0.22

*****************

*** I'm going  to rank these in order of ASSUMED (ROI) - worked out really well yesterday. This will also show you the strength of the plays today - I still play every game at 2%.  Not picking and choosing 

************

Friday

NBA ML

(27) Denver Nuggets -200 to win 0.50
(15) S.A. Spurs -105 0.95
(15) Bst Celtics +110  1.10
(13) Miami Heat -270 0.37

NHL ML 

(27) Bst Bruins -290 0.34
(14) Callas Stars -120 0.83

NHL PL

(57) Dallas Stars -1.5 +215 2.15

ROI after 41 days 

NBA ML  12.0%
NHL ML 10.2%
NHL PL 21.6% 

 
 

I have nothing to say but picks

Record

Days 41
Wagers 419
Units +62.33
ROI  14.87%  Remember - a pro is happy at 5% 

*ROI (Return on Investment) winnings / wagers

NOTE - ALWAYS risk ONE (1) unit - straight bets

Books used for lines Bovada $1 min bet / BETUS $5 min bet 

*******************************

Wednesday

NBA ML 

(46)Chicago -165 0.61 W
(46)Memphis -170 0.59 W
(31)Dallas -165 0.61 W
(25)Indiana +105 to win 1.05 L (-1.00)
(21)Milwaukee -180 0.57 L (-1.00)
(12)Utah +115  1.15 L (-1.00)

NHL ML 

(33)Calgary Flames -175 0.54 W
(22)Toronto Maps -280 0.36 W
(23)Colo Avs -175 0.57 W
(17)Det Red Wings -110 0.91 L (-1.00)

NHL PL 

(78)Calgary Flames -1.5 +135  W
(41)Colo Avs -1.5 +125  L (-1.00)
(28)Det Red Wings -1.5 +205 L (-1.00)

Total units for the day  -1.37

*****************

*** I'm going  to rank these in order of ASSUMED (ROI) - worked out really well yesterday. This will also show you the strength of the plays today - I still play every game at 2%.  Not picking and choosing 

Thursday

NBA ML

(08)Philly 76ers -140 to win 0.71

NHL ML

(43) Mont Canadians +115 1.15
(38)Car Hurricanes -230 0.43
(36) NY Islanders -135 0.74
(25)TB Lightning -310 0.32
(13) Edmonton Oilers -110 0.91

NHL PL 

(93) Mont Canadians +1.5 -200 0.50
(59)TB Lightning -1.5 -130 0.77
(32)Car Hurricanes -1.5 +105
(30) Fla Panthers -1.5 +135