yawn LOL (2)
YES - I will be doing MLB starting May 1st
Record
Wagers 486
Units +63.53
ROI 13.07% Remember - a pro is happy at 5%
yawn LOL (2)
YES - I will be doing MLB starting May 1st
Record
yawn LOL
Record
BTW - when wagering I RISK 1 (one) unit 100 to win 91 as opposed to 110 to win 100 because I want to know exactly how much I might lose. Like Poker - winning in sports wagering is not how much you win, its how much you DON'T lose.
Record
Wow - I tell ya - I take so much crap for betting favorites from people betting parlay props like who scores the first basket and 12 team parlays.
And seriously - I've been averaging about 10 plays a day but posting ONE play is REALLY REALLY stressful.
RecordThere is a lot of bad information being spread about huge chalk plays (like -500 and above). "You can't win betting those lines" type stuff. "your a fool" yada yada
Well - I compiled every -500 or greater line in the NBA.
Playing the chalks -500+ W72-L16 -4.88 units
Playing the dogs on the above lines W16-L72 +4.73 give or take some miner typos
Pretty much a wash. There is nothing wrong with play huge chalks - it's still all about picking the games
I WAS going to not post the NHL plays but this is an experiment and I'm way to concerned with the "Record". personally I'll be playing the NHL games for 1% and not the 2% of the bank. here is why.
I STILL believe I have tweaked the system so it focuses not only on the long run but the short run issues. The two graphs below look at EVERY line of every game in the last 45+ days- Notice how the Puckline -1.5 have been KILLING people the last week.
with a 7 day moving average. Once that moving average passes the actual line I'll go back to 2% wagers - NBA is doing fine
. No charts at the moment - new computer does not have a GOOD copy of Excel yet that can do charts, maybe later today. Gotta get Photohop a...