Monday, February 7, 2022

So much action it's crazy

 yawn  LOL (2)   

YES - I will be doing MLB starting May 1st  

Record

Days 53
Wagers 486
Units +63.53
ROI  13.07%  Remember - a pro is happy at 5% 
*ROI (Return on Investment) winnings / wagers
NOTE - ALWAYS risk ONE (1) unit - straight bets
Books used for lines Bovada $1 min bet / BETUS $5 min bet 
*******************************
Sunday total units   +1.19
Monday 0 so much "action" it's crazy  LOL  
And yes - I will do baseball EXPERIMENTALLY (like this) 
NBA ML 
Phoenix -330 to win 0.30  remember always 100 to win 91 
NHL ML - no games
NHL PL
Toronto -1.5 +175 
NOTE - playing NHL cautious for a few days after the break 
Check out the comeback for the Chalks in the NBA - this is from when I started the systems 53 days ago. Chalks have been ruling for a few weeks.  Not that the NBA system cares it seems    



Sunday, February 6, 2022

Who knew an "action" system would be so boring

yawn  LOL   

Record

Days 52
Wagers 484
Units +62.34
ROI  12.88%  Remember - a pro is happy at 5% 
*ROI (Return on Investment) winnings / wagers
NOTE - ALWAYS risk ONE (1) unit - straight bets
Books used for lines Bovada $1 min bet / BETUS $5 min bet 
*******************************
Saturday total units   +1.30
Sunday - last day with ONLY NBA
Denver -240 to win 0.42 W
Philly -130 0.77 W



Saturday, February 5, 2022

So so close to a sweep

Okie-Dokie. Stay in your lane son, don't be trying to preach your analytic witchery to the masses. Next thing you know you'll be talkin' WAR in the NBA.

BTW - when wagering I RISK 1 (one) unit 100 to win 91 as opposed to 110 to win 100 because I want to know exactly how much I might lose. Like Poker - winning in sports wagering is not how much you win, its how much you DON'T lose. 

Record

Days 51
Wagers 481
Units +61.04
ROI  12.69%  Remember - a pro is happy at 5% 
*ROI (Return on Investment) winnings / wagers
NOTE - ALWAYS risk ONE (1) unit - straight bets
Books used for lines Bovada $1 min bet / BETUS $5 min bet 
*******************************
Friday total units   +0.92
Saturday
No NHL until Monday   BOOOOO! 
NBA ML 
Memphis -300 0.33 W
LA Lakers -130 0.77 W
Milwaukee -500 0.20 W
Since I started this system this is what you would have done betting EVERY favorite in the NBA Unit-wise.  Dohs ruled and not it looks like chalks are taking a go of it.  

Meanwhile this is how the NBA system is doing during the same period

 

Friday, February 4, 2022

DAY 50 up 60

Wow - I tell ya - I take so much crap for betting favorites from people betting parlay props like who scores the first basket and 12 team parlays.     

And seriously - I've been averaging about 10 plays a day but posting ONE play is REALLY REALLY stressful.  

Record

Days 50
Wagers 477
Units +60.12
ROI  12.60%  Remember - a pro is happy at 5% 
*ROI (Return on Investment) winnings / wagers
NOTE - ALWAYS risk ONE (1) unit - straight bets
Books used for lines Bovada $1 min bet / BETUS $5 min bet 
*******************************
Thursday total units   +1.55
Friday
No NHL until Monday   BOOOOO! 
NBA ML 
Charlotte  -190 to win 0.53 units L
Toronto -130 0.77 W
San Antonio -165 0.61 W
Utah -185 0.54 W 
Here is how the NBA has been treating me so far this year unit-wise 


Thursday, February 3, 2022

Almost a day off

There is a lot of bad information being spread about huge chalk plays (like -500 and above).  "You can't win betting those lines" type stuff.  "your a fool" yada yada

Well - I compiled every -500 or greater line in the NBA.  

Playing the chalks -500+    W72-L16  -4.88 units
Playing the dogs on the above lines    W16-L72  +4.73  give or take some miner typos  

Pretty much a wash. There is nothing wrong with play huge chalks - it's still all about picking the games    

Record

Days 49
Wagers 476
Units +58.57
ROI  12.30%  Remember - a pro is happy at 5% 
*ROI (Return on Investment) winnings / wagers
NOTE - ALWAYS risk ONE (1) unit - straight bets
Books used for lines Bovada $1 min bet / BETUS $5 min bet 
*******************************
Wednesday  Totals units   +0.45
Thursday 
No NHL until Monday 
NBA ML 
Atlanta +155 W


Wednesday, February 2, 2022

Back in the saddle - at least for 1 night


Still only wagering 1% as opposed to 2% on NHL - last NHL until Monday 

Record

Days 48
Wagers 472
Units +58.12
ROI  12.31%  Remember - a pro is happy at 5% 
*ROI (Return on Investment) winnings / wagers
NOTE - ALWAYS risk ONE (1) unit - straight bets
Books used for lines Bovada $1 min bet / BETUS $5 min bet 
*******************************
Monday   Totals units   +4.62
NBA ML
Cleveland -180 0.56 L
Dallas -750 0.13 L
NHL ML - NO games
NHL PL 
Calgary Flames -1.5 -105 0.95  W
Minny Wild -1.5 +150 W 
systems so far this year  Left side Units won    A unit is one standard bet.  




Tuesday, February 1, 2022

Ridin the Storm Out

I WAS going to not post the NHL plays but this is an experiment and I'm way to concerned with the "Record".   personally I'll be  playing the NHL games for 1% and not the 2% of the bank.  here is why.

I STILL believe I have tweaked the system so it focuses not only on the long run but the short run issues.  The two graphs below look at EVERY line of every game in the last 45+ days-  Notice how the Puckline -1.5 have been KILLING people  the last week.  

with a 7 day moving average.  Once that moving average passes the actual line I'll go back to 2% wagers - NBA is doing fine 


Record

Days 47
Wagers 463
Units +53.50
ROI  11.55%  Remember - a pro is happy at 5% 
*ROI (Return on Investment) winnings / wagers
NOTE - ALWAYS risk ONE (1) unit - straight bets
Books used for lines Bovada $1 min bet / BETUS $5 min bet 
*******************************
Monday   Totals units  -2.98
Tuesday
NBA ML  166 plays 12.80% ROI
Phoenix -240 0.42 W

NHL ML  
NY Rangers +135 W
Boston Bruins -260 0.35 W
Vegas Goldens -460 0.22 W
NHL PL  151 plays  16.3% ROI
NY rangers +1.5 -180 0.56 W
Boston Bruins -1.5 -105 0.95 L
NY Islanders -1.5 +110 w
Dallas +1.5 -250 0.42 W
Vegas Goldens -1.5 -170 0.59 W 
Wager wisley - we will get through this 



WHEW - off the schnid

. No charts at the moment  - new computer does not have a GOOD copy of Excel yet that can do charts, maybe later today. Gotta get Photohop a...