Monday, February 14, 2022

Montreal is my Kryptonite

I have nothing to say 

Days 60

Wagers 534
Units +67.56
ROI  12.65%  Remember - a pro is happy at 5% 
*ROI (Return on Investment) winnings / wagers
NOTE - always RISK ONE (1) unit - straight bets - $1 to win $0.91
Books used for lines Bovada $1 min bet / BETUS $5 min bet 
*******************************
Sunday  total units   -0.91
Monday 
NBA ML - CRAZY BIG LINES 
NYKnicks -350 to win 0.29 L
Milwaukee - not going there -1600 Even I can't do that one 
Chicago -200 0.50 W
Golden State -25- 0.40 W
NHL ML
Winnipeg -180 0.63 L
NHL PL 
Winnipeg -1.5 + 145 L
The one thing I have noticed is that when the systems lose they don't lose a LOT but when they win they CAN have great days.   Did that that string of losing -1.5 puck lines though.   
ans speaking of puck lines they seem to be making a small comeback - or looking like it 







Sunday, February 13, 2022

Is the NHL starting to come around?

Pretty nice day in the NHL last night 

Days 59

Wagers 529
Units +68.47
ROI  12.94%  Remember - a pro is happy at 5% 
*ROI (Return on Investment) winnings / wagers
NOTE - always RISK ONE (1) unit - straight bets - $1 to win $0.91
Books used for lines Bovada $1 min bet / BETUS $5 min bet 
*******************************
Saturday  total units   +3.97
Sunday
Minnesota -240 to win 0.42 W
NHL ML  going full on 2% - normal units
Washington Caps -240 0.42 L
NHL PL going full on 2%
Montreal Canadiens +1.5 -245 0.41 L
Washington -1.5 +110 L
Colorado -1.5 +165 W








Saturday, February 12, 2022

The most exciting systems EVER zzzzzzzzzzz


 Days 58

Wagers 519
Units +64.50
ROI  12.42%  Remember - a pro is happy at 5% 
*ROI (Return on Investment) winnings / wagers
NOTE - always RISK ONE (1) unit - straight bets - $1 to win $0.91
Books used for lines Bovada $1 min bet / BETUS $5 min bet 
*******************************
Friday  total units   -0.61
Saturday
NBA ML
Memphis -350 +31 W
New Orleans -200 0.50 L
Sac Kings -145 0.69 W
Toronto -160 0.62 L
NHL ML - still personally going 1/2 units  SOON - back to full units 
Detroit -160 0.63 W
Minnesota +110 +1.10 W
NHL PL still personally going 1/2 units SOON - back to full units 
Detroit -1.5 +155 W
Nashville -1.5 +125 L
St Louis -1.5 +130 W
Calgary -1.5 +140 W
This is just giving you an idea where things are headed - these are no W/L but using the money lines. 









 

Friday, February 11, 2022

Inflation has hit the NBA chalks

As some of you know this was an experiment that was not suppose to see sunlight until NEXT year as this was a learning year to see how things worked.  

As we have seen the NBA is bonkers for chalks the last few weeks and the systems have not been keeping up. THUS - a learning situation and once again I have tweaked the systems to MAYBE be a little quicker to capitalize on things like this. 

One thing are the linemakers are REALLY inflating with favorites. So while money line favorites are winning they are winning less and less as this chalk storm continues.  Be ready for a down turn. It always happens.

If I see a hint you will be the first to know.       

Days 57

Wagers 513
Units +63.89
ROI  12.45%  Remember - a pro is happy at 5% 
*ROI (Return on Investment) winnings / wagers
NOTE - always RISK ONE (1) unit - straight bets - $1 to win $0.91
Books used for lines Bovada $1 min bet / BETUS $5 min bet 
*******************************
Thursday  total units   -0.52
Friday
NBA ML 
Charlotte -295 to win 0.34 W
Indiana +255   so so close  L - yes - you read that right - inflation has hit the favorites in the NBA 
Chicago -160 0.62 W
NHL ML
Anaheim -150 0.67 L
NHL PL 
Edmonton -1.5 +165  W



Thursday, February 10, 2022

Over 500 wagers and still +12.83 ROI

WOW - who would have thunk I would have wagered 502 bets in 56 days. 

MLB system preliminary thoughts is looking good

NHL is still a cautious wagering waiting for direction - see charts below    

Days 56

Wagers 502
Units +64.41
ROI  12.83%  Remember - a pro is happy at 5% 
*ROI (Return on Investment) winnings / wagers
NOTE - always RISK ONE (1) unit - straight bets - $1 to win $0.91
Books used for lines Bovada $1 min bet / BETUS $5 min bet 
*******************************
Wednesday total units   +2.09
Thursday - OK, revving up the engine again  
NBA ML
Washington -145 0.69 W
Toronto -350 0.29 W
Golden state -500 0.20 *  L
I'm not picking big chalks on purpose - the system picks them because of win rate and lines - it's all about the Return On Investment - You only lose 1 unit in a loss remember  
NHL ML still PERSONALLY I'm only wagering 1/2 unit on NHL at the moment
Boston Bruins +125 to win 1.25 L
St.L Blues -250 0.40 L
Calgary +120 1.20  W 
NHL PL - here we go 
Buffalo Sabres -1.5 +220 L
Boston Bruins +1.5 -250 0.40 L
Pitts Penguins -1.5 +120 W
St. L Blues -1.5 EVEN L
Calgary  -1.5 -210 0.48 W
LOL - I WAS going to say I fixed all the charts to a max of +30 units . . . but I see each one is different - oops - DAMN IT.





  

Wednesday, February 9, 2022

Small victories

NHL Pucklines are very inconsistent at the moment and the -1.5s are losing league wise for the last 20 days.

The NHL Money lines - I get excited when I DON'T pick all the favorite losers of which there are so many  

SADE NOTE - I've been working on MLB and I believe MLB will be a DOG system which will make more people happy.  MLB is sort of a 50/50 sport and so far dogs are ruling.  Since the below systems were/are and experiment on an idea I was concentrating on favorites - NEXT year I'll start to incorporate dogs on purpose in both sports.  Although I call -1.5 puck lines +200 as a dog wager.

NO ONE will tell be that a +200 you are a favorite to win.  

Days 55

Wagers 495
Units +62.32
ROI  12.38%  Remember - a pro is happy at 5% 
*ROI (Return on Investment) winnings / wagers
NOTE - always RISK ONE (1) unit - straight bets - $1 to win $0.91
Books used for lines Bovada $1 min bet / BETUS $5 min bet 
*******************************
Tuesday total units   -1.51
Wednesday 

NBA ML What is up with all the huge point spreads and ML
Cleveland -230 to win 0.43  W
Toronto -460 0.22 W
LA Lakers -370 0.27 Loser 
Not going to get rich there LOL
NHL ML 
Dallas Stars -115 0.87 W
Calgary Flames -130 0.77 W
NHL PL **
Calgary Flames -1.5 +180 W
Vancouver Canucks +1.5 -270 0.39 L
** Be careful with the puck lines, they are very inconsistent at the moment.  






Tuesday, February 8, 2022

The streak is broken :-(

Six day winning streak comes to an end - Still being somewhat cautious with the NHL and personally only putting 1% of the bank on the game as opposed to 2% on the NBA.

Having 50 units takes the stress out of the daily grind - ESPECIALLY when I had 18 plays in a day.  Maybe 2% is too small?  This experiment seems to be doing well.  But then again I have a couple bankrolls for various little projects.   

Days 54

Wagers 488
Units +62.83
ROI  12.87%  Remember - a pro is happy at 5% 
*ROI (Return on Investment) winnings / wagers
NOTE - always RISK ONE (1) unit - straight bets - $1 to win $0.91
Books used for lines Bovada $1 min bet / BETUS $5 min bet 
*******************************
Monday total units   -0.70
Tuesday 
NBA ML
Boston -260 to win 0.38 W
Milwaukee -164 0.61 W
Minnesota -200 0.50 W
NHL ML
Minnesota Wild -160 0.67 L
NHL PL
*Montreal Cans -1.5 +210 L
Boston Bruins -1.5 +185 L
Vancouver Canucks -1.5 Even W 
So we're back into a full schedule for a few weeks





WHEW - off the schnid

. No charts at the moment  - new computer does not have a GOOD copy of Excel yet that can do charts, maybe later today. Gotta get Photohop a...