Tuesday, January 18, 2022

1/18/2022 Flame on!

I'll fix the colors and so forth - a work in progress 

Six weeks ago something balderdash said tweaked my interest - he said "Teams don't care how much they win by, only that they win".  

Well, we all know how point spreads work but money lines?  Do we know how they actually behave? We know that -300 means you have to win 75% of the time but . . is that true? What if I found a way to win MORE than 75% of the time.  People don't understand money lines, are they accurate?   

I compiled 6 spreadsheets with every game and every team's money lines and other information and started noticing some "things".   In the process I got trigger finger and needed a very painful shot in the palm. But once I had things compiled the system was staring me in the face . . . . So - let's do it.  

It started slow (see the graph) and after a week it started to self correct here and there.  . It was working!!  

I needed a way to let friends, who ask about picks, an easier way to access them.  I have been posting these plays on Facebook on the Sports Handicapping Forum for 12 days and in those 12 days I have won 31 (THIRTY ONE) units.  NOT a betting system where you try to win with a losing system.  This is winning system that picks winners.

I've been playing this system for 31 days now, 337 wagers and +62.08 units - No parlays, just straight bets.

This is an extremely aggressive chalk system with up to 18 plays in a day when the NBA and NHL have a full slate of games.   

Five BEST daily results

+11.13 units
+9.54
+6.92
+6.51
+4.99
5 WORST daily results
-2.40
-0.95
-0.59
-0.46
-0.14

I strongly urge to play ALL games at 2% of the bankroll. You can pick and choose but you will not get the full benefit. 

YES - some plays look dumb such as -600 BUT - it's all part of the plan and the system does tweak as it watchs what the linemakers are doing compared how to games are going - it self corrects (I hope) 

NBA Moneylines, NHL Money lines and the real winner is NHL Puck lines (111 plays 26.9% ROI)

SO - I'm going to post these here to make it easier to access AND the Facebook Sports Handicapper Forum which is full out bozos with teasers and just oddball ways to lose money. (sorry but teasers?  I saw a guy with a 18 point teaser  -STILL lost this weekend)  

 Grinders Action System (GAS)

Record
Days 31
Wagers
Units +62.08
ROI  17.87%
*ROI (Return on Investment) winnings / wagers = For every dollar wagered you win 28.70 cents. 5% ROI is normal for pros I believe
NOTE - ALWAYS risk ONE (1) unit - straight bets
Books used for lines Bovada / BETUS
*******************************
@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@@
Big Monday
NHL Money line
Philly 76ers -155 0.65 L (-1.00)
Cleveland Cavs -145 0.65 W
Atlanta +165 1.65 W
Portland -130 0.77 W
Miami -150 0.67 W
Dallas -700 0.14 w
NHL Money lines
Colorado Avs -235 0.43 W
AZ Coyotes -120 0.83 W
SJ Sharks -110 0.91 W
NY Islandars -180 0.56 W
NHL Puck line
Colorado Avs -1.5 +100 1.00 L (-1.00)
AZ Coyotes -1.5 +200 W
SJ Sharks +1.5 -240 0.42 W
NY Islandars -1.5 +140 1.40 W
Buffalo Sabs +1.5 -210 0.48 W
Seattle Kracks +1.5 -265 0.38 W
StL Blues -1.5 +180 1.80 W
total units for the day +11.13
********************
Tuesday Games
NBA Money line
Minnesota -150 to win 0.67
NHL Money line
Bst Bruins -145 0.74
Washington Caps -125 0.80
Ottawa Senators -210 0.48
Nashville Predators -130 0.77
Dallas stars -320 0.31
TB Lightning -210 0.48
NHL Puck line
Bst Bruins-1.5 +185 1.85
NY Islanders -1.5 +190 1.90
Dallas stars -1.5 -125 0.80
TB Lightning -1.5 +125 1.25



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