Tuesday, February 15, 2022

WELL - that sucked

WELL - that was the 3rd worst day in 60 days for the combined systems - After a deep dive into what happened I have come up with a theory - it was a bad night. 

The chalk storm in the NBA has ended. The NBA system did not have any issues when the dog storm wa in vogue so we shall see.  I'm as curious as anybody. 

Systems have to go through the entire gamut of weirdness and every time the league as a whole changes the systems need to be watched for signs of breaking.  This is why most systems fail, you never start a system in a losing streak so when leagues change you need to make sure the AI can see this. The NBA is really aggressive at the moment, let's see what happens in the next week.          

Days 61

Wagers 539
Units +64.06
ROI  111.88%  Remember - a pro is happy at 5% 
*ROI (Return on Investment) winnings / wagers
NOTE - always RISK ONE (1) unit - straight bets - $1 to win $0.91
Books used for lines Bovada $1 min bet / BETUS $5 min bet 
*******************************
Monday  total units   -3.50
Tuesday
NBA ML 
Philly +130 to win 1.30 L
Atlanta Even  1.00 W
Miami -160 0.63 L
Minnesota -260 0.38 W
NHL ML 
St. Louis -210 0.48 W
Nashville -135 0.74 L
Colorado -260 0.38 L
NHL PL 
NY Rangers -1.5 +170 L
Nashville -1.5 +180 L
The rest of my graphs are too depressing - here is what would happen if you bet EVERY game - notice the NBA Chalk storm has ended 

 

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